Smart Growth Communities Require Less Pavement

Recent studies indicate that current planning practices require economically-excessive road and parking supply. This research provides practical guidance to help communities devote less land to vehicles and more land to people.

2 minute read

December 18, 2014, 8:00 AM PST

By Todd Litman


Two recent studies provide further evidence that current planning practices require economically-excessive road and parking supply, a problem that becomes more severe as vehicle travel peaks and demand for alternative modes and more multi-modal communities increases.

Phantom Trips: Overestimating the Traffic Impacts of New Development by Professor Adam Millard-Ball critically examined the methods commonly used to predict trip generation, that is, the additional vehicle traffic resulting from new development. The study found that commonly used methods, such as the ITE Trip Generation Manual:
• Overestimate trip generation in smart growth locations.
• Use biased samples, since surveys are generally performed at “successful” sites.
• Assume that any trips made from a new building are “new” trips, rather than shifts of existing regional trips that would occur if the building had not been constructed.

As a result of these factors the author concludes that current practices greatly overestimate the number of vehicle trips that can be attributed to any development project, resulting in economically-excessive urban roadway capacity and a structural bias against infill development

Trip Generation for Smart Growth Projects by Robert J. Schneider, Susan L. Handy and Kevan Shafizadeh applied a new, more rigorous data collection method to count vehicle trips at urban sites. The results indicate that commonly-used trip generation prediction models significantly overestimate trip generation in smart growth locations, by an average of 2.3 times at the sites studied. The results were used to develop the Smart Growth Trip-Generation Adjustment Tool which can be used to adjust available trip-generation rates for smart growth development projects. Most of these findings are transferable to parking generation analysis.

These studies provide further evidence that smart growth development can provide large savings and benefits, including savings to households (from reduced vehicle expenses), developers (from less parking and transportation impact costs) and governments (from reduced roadway costs), and that current planning practices are significantly biased in favor of sprawl and automobile-dependency. These studies provide practical guidance to help communities devote less land to vehicles and more land to people.

Wednesday, December 17, 2014 in Access Magazine

portrait of professional woman

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching. Mary G., Urban Planner

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching.

Mary G., Urban Planner

Get top-rated, practical training

Wastewater pouring out from a pipe.

Alabama: Trump Terminates Settlements for Black Communities Harmed By Raw Sewage

Trump deemed the landmark civil rights agreement “illegal DEI and environmental justice policy.”

April 13, 2025 - Inside Climate News

Logo for Planetizen Federal Action Tracker with black and white image of U.S. Capitol with water ripple overlay.

Planetizen Federal Action Tracker

A weekly monitor of how Trump’s orders and actions are impacting planners and planning in America.

April 16, 2025 - Diana Ionescu

Black and white photos of camp made up of small 'earthquake shacks' in Dolores Park in 1906 after the San Francisco earthquake.

The 120 Year Old Tiny Home Villages That Sheltered San Francisco’s Earthquake Refugees

More than a century ago, San Francisco mobilized to house thousands of residents displaced by the 1906 earthquake. Could their strategy offer a model for the present?

April 15, 2025 - Charles F. Bloszies

People walking up and down stairs in New York City subway station.

In Both Crashes and Crime, Public Transportation is Far Safer than Driving

Contrary to popular assumptions, public transportation has far lower crash and crime rates than automobile travel. For safer communities, improve and encourage transit travel.

April 18 - Scientific American

White public transit bus with bike on front bike rack in Nashville, Tennessee.

Report: Zoning Reforms Should Complement Nashville’s Ambitious Transit Plan

Without reform, restrictive zoning codes will limit the impact of the city’s planned transit expansion and could exclude some of the residents who depend on transit the most.

April 18 - Bloomberg CityLab

An engineer controlling a quality of water ,aerated activated sludge tank at a waste water treatment plant.

Judge Orders Release of Frozen IRA, IIJA Funding

The decision is a victory for environmental groups who charged that freezing funds for critical infrastructure and disaster response programs caused “real and irreparable harm” to communities.

April 18 - Smart Cities Dive