The Myth Of Solid Ground, Reviewed

18 April 2006 - 1:00pm

In his recent book, The Myth of Solid Ground, David Ulin looks at what earthquakes might mean, from a cultural standpoint -- including what scientific, or pseudo-scientific, techniques now hope to predict future seismic catastrophe.

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"While researching the book, Ulin joked 'that I would either learn enough about earthquakes to stay comfortably in California or so much that I'd have to move away. As it happens, I came to the former conclusion.'

...But the one thing I did find reinforced almost everywhere was the limitation of official science – of pragmatic science – to encompass large theoretical areas. I think there has been a failure of imagination on behalf of seismologists – and geologists in general – in terms of how they approach the subject of earthquakes. That’s probably because of the failure of prediction to pan out in the 1980s, for instance, when prediction was a big thing – they really thought this was going to be possible. Millions of dollars were spent, papers were written, careers were staked – but it failed to pan out. I think they got scared and, basically, retrenched. Earthquake prediction became the kiss of death."

Source: Archinect, April 18, 2006